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Don Walton: Omaha clearly in play

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Monday, Oct 13, 2008 - 12:46:59 am CDT

A battleground district it is.

No doubt about it, metropolitan Omaha’s 2nd Congressional District is in play.

Despite some noise pooh-poohing the Democratic challenge in the Omaha district, the battle for one of Nebraska’s presidential electoral votes could go either way.

And that means the House contest between Lee Terry and Jim Esch is competitive.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision last week to allocate more than $400,000 to Esch’s campaign is a clear signal that someone has seen a post-economic crisis poll.

Republicans will be counting on Bellevue and other slices of Sarpy County to secure the electoral vote for John McCain over Barack Obama and hang on to Terry’s House seat.

But you get the impression Omaha is heading toward Obama and it could take Douglas County with it. Dependably Republican Sarpy County is the GOP’s firewall.

In Douglas County, Dave Phipps labors in the eye of the storm.

“I’d be shocked if we don’t see record vote numbers here,” says the county election commissioner.

“There’s a lot of excitement building.”

Mail ballots are flowing in at a rate of about 1,000 a day.

In-person early voting has averaged 300 or 400 a day since it began two weeks ago.

With as many as 1,000 people a day registering to vote (or changing their registration data in some way), the Republican voter registration advantage has been steadily dwindling.

Douglas County registration figures as of Oct. 1: Republicans, 121,584; Democrats, 119,790; independents, 58,430.

Phipps says he’s getting ready for a huge turnout.

Normally, the number of available ballots averages 85 percent of the number of registered voters at the time they are printed.

This time, Phipps says, he’s taking no chances. In most precincts, the number of printed ballots will equal 98.5 percent of the registration figure.

And in north Omaha and south Omaha, where the Obama campaign is aggressively registering new voters, the number of printed ballots will jump to 105 percent to prepare for a big turnout.

An extra poll worker will be assigned to every precinct to help direct voters, Phipps says.

But there still could be long lines at some precincts that have not normally handled the kind of turnout that may be on its way.

Especially in north Omaha.

“We’ve taken some positive steps to make sure things go smoothly,” Phipps says.

An advisory council has been at work in north Omaha. A public service announcement detailing early voting opportunities is airing regularly on Cox cable in Omaha.

“If there are lines in north Omaha on Election Day, there probably will be lines in west Omaha,” Phipps says.

“People need to understand it won’t be a five-minute experience. There’s likely to be some sort of wait.”

And right there is the strongest argument and incentive to vote early this year.

Phipps is guessing between 35,000 and 45,000 voters will do that in Douglas County.

The right stuff

The way it should work.

Chuck Hagel and Bob Kerrey sat together on the stage at Kimball Hall last week and discussed their views about health care reform.

Two guys who like and respect one another. Two men who value each other’s intellect, experience, opinions and views.

One a Republican, one a Democrat.

Their health care reform ideas, sketched in general terms at the UNL forum, are different. Probably substantially so in terms of specifics.

But if you charged those two men with the task of devising a health care plan and told them this urgent issue was entirely in their hands, they would do so.

They’d find a way to accommodate differences.

There would be give and take.

And, in the end, you’d probably have the best and most critical ideas of both men incorporated in the result in some way.

That’s the way it ought to work in Washington.

And doesn’t.

Hate campaigning

Ugly.

Can’t remember so many haters out there.

In recent days, this presidential campaign has turned them on, and some of them are shouting threats and words of violence.

Those who unleashed them have an obligation at least to calm them down. After all, their votes are not in question. But their actions are.

Credit McCain with beginning to try to calm them with words of reason at rallies last Friday. But there’s not much comfort in the fact that McCain’s efforts to defuse some of that hatred drew loud boos from his supporters.

Much of that raw anger is fueled by Hate Radio. Day after day after day.

It’s ugly — and becoming dangerous — out there.

Finishing up

* Hey, if you quit jumping out of the roller coaster car, we’ll all have a safer ride.

* Reminder: Nebraskans built an epic state Capitol during the Depression. You can’t build the future by halting or crippling progress.

* Final Senate debate Thursday in Grand Island.

* Bob Kerrey remembers a quiet young staffer who worked for him when he was chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. David Plouffe now is credited with building a brilliant new presidential campaign model as Obama’s chairman.

* Wow! There’s life and hope in Husker football today.

Reach Don Walton at 473-7248 or dwalton@journalstar.com.


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Mike wrote on October 13, 2008 1:15 am:
" Does anyone know if any of the Kleeb-Johanns debates were televised statewide (live)? Unless I missed it, I don't think they were and it would be great to see a debate between these two in primetime across the state. Just a thought for Don to ponder. "

KC wrote on October 13, 2008 6:30 am:
" Don, I assume when you speak of "haters" you are talking about all the Bush haters, of which there are many and they are vocal. You are a little late calling for an end to their harange. It has been going on for years and it is appalling. "

WCG wrote on October 13, 2008 7:40 am:
" Just Omaha? As badly as the Republicans have damaged our economy - our country - it's hard to imagine that ANYONE wants to 'stay the course,' after the past eight years. We made a HUGE mistake four years ago. Are most Nebraskans really dumb enough - or bigoted enough - to do it again? It's hard to believe.

And regarding the 'credit' that McCain deserves for trying to calm his rabid fans, it's McCain and Palin who have encouraged this hatred. The ONLY reason that McCain has started to say something (while still running his slimy negative ads, note) is because he's been getting a lot of criticism about it - including from other conservatives. Heck, even the son of William F. Buckley, and a conservative columnist himself for the National Review, has come out in support of Barack Obama. McCain's constant lies, his sleazy campaigning, and his poor judgment in picking Sarah Palin are driving away his long-standing allies, the secular conservatives and remaining moderates in the GOP. Now, all he has left is the religious nuts who still back Bush.

So don't 'credit' McCain at all. He and Palin deliberately attracted the haters and have steadily fed their hate. It's only when that tactic started to backfire politically that McCain began to make calming noises. It's increasingly clear that McCain has no honor left, that it's ALL about ambition these days. "

Ricky wrote on October 13, 2008 7:54 am:
" Indeed there is a lot of enthusiasm for Obama in Omaha.
Look at the excitement over the opening of his office in midtown.(Where Mike Boyle got his traffic ticket).
Everytime I go into that office there are lots of people working and walking in.
And a lot of talk about Obama.
I think Obama will take District 2 and the question is; will Terry fall with the wave?

Ricky From Omaha "

Question wrote on October 13, 2008 8:02 am:
" You get what you get and that's what you get, says popeye the sailor man. Hoot! Hoot! Boy are we in for a big let down and a rough ride for 4 to 8 years and maybe more! Wow! I can't believe this is happening. Who would have known. That Hagel would be supporting Obama, did you know that! That certainly is a surprise to me. HA! HA! "

whatever wrote on October 13, 2008 8:50 am:
" Mr. Walton is way out of line. The "right wing" radio shows and media outlets like the JS have been promoting the "hate" as it is called that we have seen coming from the McCain/Palin campaign. While Clinton certainly played the race card in the primaries it is more than clear that the Republican Party and it's minions are feeding the fire. And by the way, the 2nd District has been in play for at leat 10 months. No news there. "

say what wrote on October 13, 2008 9:18 am:
" Hate radio? Come on, Don, just becasue talk radio is the only media outlet that is not dominated with a left-wing agenda, it gets conveniently labeled hate. Well, open your eyes to all of the hate attacks against Sara Palin in every mainstream outlet...and don't forget the exceptional hate-filled cries about bush - from movies and books that promote his assination -- so don't give me any of this hate radio business! "

wrongdon wrote on October 13, 2008 9:26 am:
" I usually let don's left-sided slants go by like you would a grandfather cutting in line at a husker game bathroom, but this time he is way out of line--to try to label the hate tag on McCain/Palin supporters is the most irresponsible journalistic malpractice he has committed thus far. I see more hate on liberal bumper stickers than any consertative rally or candidate. Look at the left-wing media and every day is a hate mongering event against anything consertative. "

truth wrote on October 13, 2008 9:36 am:
" The high democrat registration numbers in neb and across the country can be attributed to the predatory recruiting practices of groups like ACORN. They infiltrate communities looking for the uninformed, unbathed, or unemployed and offer them bribes, rides and tobacco to register. The left really doesn't care about these people, they just want their vote and will say anything to get it. "

to WCG wrote on October 13, 2008 10:09 am:
" Most Nebraskans aren't dumb enough to hand the keys to a guy that's been a senator for a whopping 143 days. And, of course, if you don't vote for Obama, you're a bigot, right? It can't be that Obama's unqualified, or harbors radical, left-wing ideas, or that John McCain would be a better president. No, it has to be race.

Grow up. "

no show wrote on October 13, 2008 10:39 am:
" MR. Johanns would never allow a Televised debate as he does not want too look stupid or call him on things he says are untrue.

It sure would be nice to have some televised debates but like some things we are to remain in the dark, like what Mr. Johanns ever accomplished.

I am really amazed to read the comments of people who think he has done a good job, I guess if you look at the weeks he spends in office maybe their is some merit to that. He is not their long enough to screw up too much.

When are Nebraskans going to start making these people do what they say they are going to do but never do. I guess if you vote for the same you get the same. "

real haters wrote on October 13, 2008 10:49 am:
" The democrat party has been taken over by the hollywood types and the moveon crowd...they have zero respect for states like nebraska, whom they believe we are a bunch of hayseeds and cling to our religion and guns. And talk about hate...the far left has done and said more disgusting things than any rightwing radio show ever has. They have even gone as far as promoting Bush's murder. Oh wait, that is just hollywood creative expression, not hate. "

jon wrote on October 13, 2008 11:56 am:
" no show...your comments about Johanns could also apply very well to Mr. Obama. I am still waiting for someone to tell me ONE thing he has ever done in his ENTIRE life that makes him qualified to be president. You talk about Johanns and fail to mention Obama. When you or anyone else can name some of his successes as a senator (all 143 days of it) I might consider voting for him. Until then, I want someone to be in charge who has done a few things in life. Even Palin has executive experience running a state government. Obama can vote present in the senate but we can't do that when voting for president. We actually have to make a decision "

rac wrote on October 13, 2008 12:04 pm:
" Don, you can keep hoping the Dems will take a vote and a Rep. seat in Nebaraska, but it won't happen. Why? Because many of the people registered as Democrats, and newly signed by the desparate liberals, won't come out to vote. It's very typical and predictable. Simple as that. "

woah wrote on October 13, 2008 1:43 pm:
" Lets be clear, the true 'haters' out there are lefties. Talk about threats and violence, look at the protesters at the GOP convention - sorry Don didn't get to see what was really going on there. Look at any left-wing protest, now those are embedded in hate. Also consider James McCarville said if Obama doesn't win, there will be riots in the streets. Even the most animated talk radio hosts pale in comparison to the left wing activists. "

Mrs. Johnson wrote on October 13, 2008 2:01 pm:
" Let's see...John McCain and his side kick Sara stoke the coals and stir up the haters and then you give him credit for trying to calm them. Give us all a break! John McCain is going to trying nice for awhile because the hate didn't work. Will he switch back to hate when that doesn't work? Not to mention that wonderful Christian he's got on his ticket. How hateful can someone claiming religion get? "

Kevin wrote on October 13, 2008 10:35 pm:
" If Nebraska knows what is good for our future we will vote Barack Obama into office this November. Here's to hoping Nebraskans alliances to their future generations are stronger than their alliances with the Republican Party.

Obama/Biden '08 "

RRZ wrote on October 14, 2008 12:04 am:
" I agree, Don. The idiot McCain supporters who respond to "Who is Barack Obama?" with shouts of "Terrorist!" should be ashamed of themselves. I didn't believe anyone would be that stupid until I saw the video for myself. That would have been completely awesome if McCain would have taken it to the guy that shouted that. I am ashamed that that kind of thing happens in either campaign, but I am more ashamed because it is my own party. This kind of stuff cannot be tolerated, and I am extremely disappointed that the McCain-Palin campaign has allowed comments like this to go unreprimanded. "

Lets be clear wrote on October 14, 2008 10:10 am:
" NE is NOT in play for the Democrats. Not for the 1st district, not for the 3rd, and not for the 2nd. You'll see on election day that McCain wins by 10+ points.
Obama's "cool" factor isn't going to sway hard-working Nebraskans. "

E Jr wrote on October 14, 2008 12:05 pm:
" I agree with "let's be clear." Nebraskans will vote Republican even if they don't have a job, gas is $5 a gallon and they can't afford health care. As long as they are against abortions and gays getting married, nothing else matters. "

nemo wrote on October 14, 2008 1:28 pm:
" Hate radio? Is that a station that plays nothing but 70's disco? Now that's something to hate. "